One of the most compelling parts of the investment case, and one that many investors overlook, is Coffee's rolling net asset value (NAV). Unlike a producing mine, a development-stage project naturally becomes more valuable as it moves closer to production.
Every milestone, completing the Feasibility Study, advancing permitting, beginning construction, and ultimately pouring first gold... reduces execution risk and shortens the time until future cash flows are realized. With less time left to discount those cash flows, the project's value naturally increases.
In other words, investors aren't just buying Coffee as it exists today, they're buying into a project that has the potential to become materially more valuable simply by executing on its development timeline.
At consensus gold prices, Coffee generates an after-tax NPV(5%) of approximately US$2.2 billion with a 43.5% internal rate of return. At roughly US$5,000 gold, the economics become even more compelling, with after-tax NPV climbing to US$3.7 billion, an IRR of 62.1%, and a payback period of less than 18 months.
With early works already underway, a Feasibility Study in progress, a construction decision targeted for early 2027, and first gold expected in 2029, Coffee's rolling NAV should continue to increase as each development milestone reduces risk and brings the project closer to cash flow.
The project also sits comfortably in the lower half of the global cost curve for all-in sustaining costs.
The Story Isn't Finished Yet
Even before this financing, exploration was well underway. Recent drilling at the Supremo Extension returned 9.28 g/t gold over 3.0 metres, more than three times the average grade of the current resource. That work is part of a 40,000-metre drill program designed to convert Inferred ounces ahead of the Feasibility Study.
At the same time, construction preparations are already underway. |
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